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<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.0 20120330//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd">
<article article-type="editorial" dtd-version="1.0" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">CEP</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics</journal-title><abbrev-journal-title>Clin Exp Pediatr</abbrev-journal-title></journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2713-4148</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Korean Pediatric Society</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3345/cep.2020.00325</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">cep-2020-00325</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Editorial</subject>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Other</subject>
</subj-group></subj-group></article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Is correcting exposure misclassification bias an additional option in meta-analyses?</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3222-3378</contrib-id>
<name><surname>Kim</surname><given-names>Ki Eun</given-names></name>
<degrees>MD</degrees>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c1-cep-2020-00325"/>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="af1-cep-2020-00325"/>
</contrib>
<aff id="af1-cep-2020-00325">
Department of Pediatrics, CHA Gangnam Medical Center, CHA University, Seoul, <country>Korea</country></aff>
</contrib-group>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="c1-cep-2020-00325">Corresponding author: Ki Eun Kim, MD. Department of Pediatrics, CHA Gangnam Medical Center, CHA University, 566 Nonhyeon-ro, Gangnam-gu, Seoul 06135, Korea Email: <email>diavolezza@naver.com</email></corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<month>3</month>
<year>2021</year></pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>14</day>
<month>1</month>
<year>2021</year></pub-date>
<volume>64</volume>
<issue>3</issue>
<fpage>117</fpage>
<lpage>118</lpage>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>9</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2020</year></date>
<date date-type="rev-recd">
<day>18</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2020</year></date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>29</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2020</year></date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x000a9; 2021 by The Korean Pediatric Society</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
<license>
<license-p>This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/</ext-link>) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.</license-p></license></permissions>
<related-article related-article-type="commentary-article" id="cep-2020-00325" vol="64" page="96" ext-link-type="pmc"/>
</article-meta>
<notes>
<title>Key message</title>
<boxed-text>
<p>Systematic reviews and meta-analyses examine various existing research results. Such studies are conducted according to a technically determined algorithm to minimize errors. It is particularly important to understand basic analytical methods such as the fixed-effect and random-effects models and apply appropriate statistical techniques to verify interstudy heterogeneity. A design that eliminates possible bias from the early stages of the research in a step-by-step manner is required whenever possible.</p>
</boxed-text>
</notes>
</front>
<body>
<p>In recent years, evidence-based studies, such as observational rather than cross-sectional, prospective rather than retrospective, multicenter rather than single-center, and randomized controlled clinical trials (RCTs), have demonstrated high abilities to ensure result validity and objectivity. However, research on the effects of environmental exposure such as smoke on offspring is not ethically available for RCTs. In prospective observational cohort studies, various confounders arise during the observation period &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b1-cep-2020-00325">1</xref>&#x0005d;. When the results of several studies comparing the efficacy of various treatments yield different results, different methods are required to determine which treatment to ultimately select. In such cases, the meta-analysis can help minimize bias and determine guidelines or policies based on result objectivity and validity.</p>
<p>Meta-analyses require a systematic review of many studies; to reduce errors, the research is conducted according to the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) statement &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b2-cep-2020-00325">2</xref>&#x0005d; or MOOSE (Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) standards &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b1-cep-2020-00325">1</xref>&#x0005d;. Ayubi et al. &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b2-cep-2020-00325">2</xref>&#x0005d; illustrated this process using a 27-item checklist and suggested a statistical method for correcting misclassification bias in the appendix to make it reproducible.</p>
<p>Many studies have examined maternal and child factors that affect fractures in childhood. Among them, smoking during pregnancy has various health hazards for the offspring such as preterm birth, intrauterine growth retardation, low birth weight &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b3-cep-2020-00325">3</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b4-cep-2020-00325">4</xref>&#x0005d;, low bone mineral content &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b3-cep-2020-00325">3</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b5-cep-2020-00325">5</xref>&#x0005d;, and delayed union or bone healing &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b6-cep-2020-00325">6</xref>&#x0005d;, making it a great public health concern. However, meaningful studies on the association between maternal smoking and childhood fractures are limited. Several recent studies &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b4-cep-2020-00325">4</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b5-cep-2020-00325">5</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b7-cep-2020-00325">7</xref>&#x0005d; have achieved more precise results by using more detailed and extended analytical tools of the populations, interventions, comparators, and outcomes (<xref rid="t1-cep-2020-00325" ref-type="table">Table 1</xref>) &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b3-cep-2020-00325">3</xref>-<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b8-cep-2020-00325">8</xref>&#x0005d;.</p>
<p>Two analytical methods are used in meta-analyses: the fixedeffect model, which considers the variance that only individual studies have; and the random-effects model, which considers inter- and intrastudy variance. The fixed-effect model is used when the research designs or methods are similar; the randomeffects model analyzes data assuming interstudy heterogeneity. Forest plot, Cochran <italic>Q</italic>-test, Higgins <italic>I<sup>2</sup></italic> statistics, and meta-regression are also used to confirm heterogeneity.</p>
<p>Retrospective or cross-sectional studies that focus on the effects of environmental exposure might misclassify specific substances or introduce bias by using recall or proxy interviews about exposure. Stratified and Bayesian analyses are used to correct for this error.</p>
<p>Bayesian analysis is a statistical reasoning method that predicts expected random variables based on past results. Bayesian analysis differs from classical sampling theory as follows: the parameter of interest is a random variable; a prior distribution and sample model are assumed; post-distribution is induced; and relevant past experience is applied to sample data. Since Bayesian analysis is used in connection with past data, it is useful in that it requires fewer data points than the classical sampling theory. It is also widely applied in ecology and sociology because the parameter of interest is an uncertain random variable.</p>
<p>Clair et al. &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b9-cep-2020-00325">9</xref>&#x0005d; conducted a meta-analysis to determine whether smoking is a risk factor for diabetic polyneuropathy (DPN); 28 case-control/cross-sectional studies and 10 prospective cohort studies were analyzed separately for each study design using a random-effects model. However, even prospective studies showed high heterogeneity; when analyzed again by stratified analysis, higher quality and stronger association results between smoking and DPN were obtained. This resulted in highly heterogeneous outcomes of the studies included in the meta-analysis because actual smoking was denied, underestimated, or not considered.</p>
<p>Lian et al. &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b10-cep-2020-00325">10</xref>&#x0005d; applied the concept of external validation data using real data from a meta-analysis of the effect of smoking on DPN. They synthesized 2 sets of analyses of the association between a misclassified exposure and an outcome (main studies) and the association between misclassified exposure and true exposure (validation studies) by using the extended Bayesian approach. Ayubi et al. &#x0005b;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b2-cep-2020-00325">2</xref>&#x0005d; solved the errors based on the fact that smoke exposure was determined by the mother&#x02019;s recall at the age of 8 or 9 years, indicating that the smoker group could be classified as a nonsmoker group, and drew meaningful results by using Bayesian analysis to correct for misclassification bias that may occur in a meta-analysis of the effects of exposure.</p>
<p>Meta-analyses have the advantage of reproducing the entire process and estimating precise results by combining all studies. However, the populations, interventions, and comparators should be verified beforehand to ensure sufficient interstudy consistency; the use of a statistical meta-analysis should be determined. Although a random-effects model for weighing smaller studies and a fixed-effect model for weighing larger samples or mixed-effect models for 3 different interventions were used, heterogeneity can occur among meaningful studies. If the <italic>I<sup>2</sup></italic> value exceeds 50%, heterogeneity is identified. In addition, a sensitivity or subgroup analysis and meta-regression must be considered to reduce bias.</p>
<p>Therefore, verification should be strictly performed at each stage to reduce all possible bias, and careful planning is particularly important for maintaining consistency since it reduces misclassification bias at the research design and registration stages.</p>
</body>
<back>
<fn-group>
<fn fn-type="conflict"><p>No potential conflicts of interest relevant to this article are declared.</p></fn>
</fn-group>
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<sec sec-type="display-objects">
<title>Table</title>
<table-wrap id="t1-cep-2020-00325" position="float">
<label>Table 1.</label>
<caption><p>Summary of studies examining the association between maternal smoking and fractures in offspring</p></caption>
<table rules="groups" frame="hsides">
<thead><tr>
<th align="left" valign="middle">Study</th>
<th align="center" valign="middle">Design</th>
<th align="center" valign="middle">Study period</th>
<th align="center" valign="middle">Fracture/sample size (n)</th>
<th align="center" valign="middle">Attained age (years)</th>
<th align="center" valign="middle">Estimate</th>
<th align="center" valign="middle">Methods &amp; findings</th>
</tr></thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ma and Jones (2002) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b8-cep-2020-00325">8</xref>]</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Cohort</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1979–1994</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">32/324</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">NS</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Recall at 8-year-old child</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Jones et al. (2004) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b6-cep-2020-00325">6</xref>]</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Cohort</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1972–1991</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">622/1,139</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3–18 (9)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">OR 1.15 (95% CI, 0.93–1.42)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Recall at 9-year-old child</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Jones et al. (2013) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b3-cep-2020-00325">3</xref>]</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Cohort</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1988–1997</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">159/415</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8–16 (10.4)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">NS</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">RAB</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Parviainen et al. (2017) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b5-cep-2020-00325">5</xref>]</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Cohort</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1985-1993</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">88/6,718</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0–8 (4.1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">OR 1.83 (95% CI, 1.06–3.02)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Poisson regression</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Högberg et al. (2018) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b7-cep-2020-00325">7</xref>]</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Cohort</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1997–2014</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4,663/395,812</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0–1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">AOR 2.62 (95% CI, 1.07–6.42)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cigarette dose dependent, RAB</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="3">Brand et al. (2020) [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b4-cep-2020-00325">4</xref>]</td>
<td valign="top" align="center" rowspan="3">Cohort (sibling comparison)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center" rowspan="3">1983–2000</td>
<td valign="top" align="center" rowspan="3">377,970/1,680,307</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0–1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">HR 1.27(95% CI, 1.12–1.45)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="3">Stratified Cox regression model, cigarette dose dependent, RAB</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">1–5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">NS</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">5–32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">HR 1.15 (95% CI, 1.14–1.17)</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="tfn1-cep-2020-00325"><p>NS, not specified; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; RAB, recall at birth; AOR, adjusted odds ratio; HR, hazard ratio.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
</back></article>